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Sunday, February 26, 2017

2017 Oscar Predictions (UPDATE: Winners are highlighted in blue)

I've seen all of the Best Picture Nominees (Reviews & Ratings for the 2017 Best Picture Nominees) plus some of the others nominated for other awards (Loving, Nocturnal Animals, Florence Foster Jenkins, O.J.: Made in America, 13th, Allied, Sully, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, Jackie), so I am ready to make my predictions. Here they are, my 2017 Oscar predictions along with who I personally would pick to win if I was voting.

UPDATE: Winners are highlighted in blue. I was 6 for 8 with my predictions. It was a pretty wild ending with La La Land being incorrectly announced as the winner after Warren Beatty had been given the envelope for Best Actress.

Best Picture

Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea


I gave La La Land, Hidden Figures, and Lion 9/10 stars and I think I like La La Land the best out of all 3, but just barely.

Best Director

La La Land - Damien Chazelle
Hacksaw Ridge - Mel Gibson
Moonlight - Barry Jenkins
Manchester by the Sea - Kenneth Lonergan
Arrival - Denis Villeneuve

PREDICTION: Damien Chazelle
MY CHOICE: Damien Chazelle

I think a big part of what makes La La Land so good is Damien Chazelle's brilliant directing.

Best Actor

Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield - Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling - La La Land
Viggo Mortensen - Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington - Fences

PREDICTION: Denzel Washington
MY CHOICE: Casey Affleck

Casey Affleck makes Manchester By the Sea the movie that it is. Without his performance, it's just a "good" movie. But I think the Academy will go with Denzel, which is not a bad option either since he's pretty awesome in Fences.

Best Actress

Isabelle Huppert - Elle
Ruth Negga - Loving
Natalie Portman - Jackie
Emma Stone - La La Land
Meryl Streep - Florence Foster Jenkins

MY CHOICE: Emma Stone

If Amy Adams were nominated here for Arrival, I might pick her because she is so good in that movie. But Emma Stone is pretty awesome in La La Land and her natural, unassuming charm shines through. I think Streep's nomination for Florence Foster Jenkins is ridiculous.

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali - Moonlight
Jeff Bridges - Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges - Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel - Lion
Michael Shannon - Nocturnal Animals

PREDICTION: Mahershala Ali
MY CHOICE: Dev Patel

I personally don't think Ali is that great and he's barely IN Moonlight whereas Dev Patel is amazing in Lion. But Ali is the odds-on favorite, so I'm predicting he will win.

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis - Fences
Naomie Harris - Moonlight
Nicole Kidman - Lion
Octavia Spencer - Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams - Manchester by the Sea

MY CHOICE: Viola Davis

Viola Davis is a slam dunk here as she's incredible in Fences.

Best Original Screenplay

20th Century Women - Mike Mills
Hell or High Water - Taylor Sheridan
La La Land - Damien Chazelle
The Lobster - Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthimis Filippou
Manchester by the Sea - Kenneth Lonergan

PREDICTION: Manchester by the Sea
MY CHOICE: Manchester by the Sea

I love original screenplays and Lonergan deserves this one for sure.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Arrival - Eric Heisserer
Fences - August Wilson
Hidden Figures - Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi
Lion - Luke Davies
Moonlight - Barry Jenkins, Story by Tarell Alvin McCraney


I think Lion is the better story, but I do think Moonlight will win.

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