I am predicting 16/23 categories as I never predict any of the Best Short Film categories, Best Documentary, and Best Original Song (which really needs to be dropped as an award). I am also not predicting either Best Animated or Best International Film as I haven’t seen any of this year’s nominees with the exception of Emilia Perez.
UPDATE: I went 15/16 with my predictions with the only miss being Mikey Madison for Best Actress. But that's OK because I really wanted her to win and am so glad she did. The winners are below in blue.
BEST PICTURE
Anora
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Pérez
I’m Still Here
Nickel Boys
The Substance
Wicked
What I want to/think should win: I know it has no chance, but I think Dune: Part Two is the best movie I’ve seen in the last 20 years. For the movies that DO have a chance, I want to see Anora win.
What I predict will win: Anora
BEST DIRECTOR
Sean Baker, Anora
Brady Corbet, The Brutalist
James Mangold, A Complete Unknown
Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez
Coralie Fargeat, The Substance
Who I want to/think should win: Well, I think Denis Villeneuve should win, but he wasn’t nominated, so I’ll go with Sean Baker.
Who I predict will win: Sean Baker
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Adrien Brody, The Brutalist
Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown
Colman Domingo, Sing Sing
Ralph Fiennes, Conclave
Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice
Who I want to/think should win: Timothée Chalamet
Who I predict will win: Adrien Brody
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Cynthia Erivo, Wicked
Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez
Mikey Madison, Anora
Demi Moore, The Substance
Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here
Who I want to/think should win: Mikey Madison
Who I predict will win: Demi Moore
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Yura Borisov, Anora
Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain
Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown
Guy Pearce, The Brutalist
Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice
Who I want to/think should win: Edward Norton
Who I predict will win: Kieran Culkin
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown
Ariana Grande, Wicked
Felicity Jones, The Brutalist
Isabella Rossellini, Conclave
Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez
Who I want to/think should win: Monica Barbaro
Who I predict will win: Zoe Saldaña
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Lol Crawley, The Brutalist
Greig Fraser, Dune: Part Two
Paul Guilhaume, Emilia Pérez
Ed Lachman, Maria
Jarin Blaschke, Nosferatu
Who I want to/think should win: Greig Fraser, Dune: Part Two
Who I predict will win: Lol Crawley, The Brutalist
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Anora, Written by Sean Baker
The Brutalist, Written by Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold
A Real Pain, Written by Jesse Eisenberg
September 5, Written by Moritz Binder, Tim Fehlbaum; Co-Written by Alex David
The Substance, Written by Coralie Fargeat
What I want to/think should win: Anora
What I predict will win: Anora
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
A Complete Unknown, Screenplay by James Mangold and Jay Cocks
Conclave, Screenplay by Peter Straughan
Emilia Pérez, Screenplay by Jacques Audiard; In collaboration with Thomas Bidegain, Léa Mysius and Nicolas Livecchi
Nickel Boys, Screenplay by RaMell Ross & Joslyn Barnes
Sing Sing, Screenplay by Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar; Story by Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John "Divine G" Whitfield
What I want to/think should win: A Complete Unknown
What I predict will win: Conclave
BEST FILM EDITING
Anora, Sean Baker
The Brutalist, David Jancso
Conclave, Nick Emerson
Emilia Pérez, Juliette Welfling
Wicked, Myron Kerstein
What I want to/think should win: Anora
What I predict will win: Anora
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Daniel Blumberg, The Brutalist
Volker Bertelmann, Conclave
Clément Ducol and Camille, Emilia Pérez
John Powell and Stephen Schwartz, Wicked
Kris Bowers, The Wild Robot
Who I want to/think should win: Daniel Blumberg, The Brutalist
Who I predict will win: Daniel Blumberg, The Brutalist
BEST SOUND
A Complete Unknown, Tod A. Maitland, Donald Sylvester, Ted Caplan, Paul Massey and David Giammarco
Dune: Part Two, Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill
Emilia Pérez, Erwan Kerzanet, Aymeric Devoldère, Maxence Dussère, Cyril Holtz and Niels Barletta
Wicked, Simon Hayes, Nancy Nugent Title, Jack Dolman, Andy Nelson and John Marquis
The Wild Robot, Randy Thom, Brian Chumney, Gary A. Rizzo and Leff Lefferts
What I want to/think should win: Dune: Part Two
What I predict will win: Dune: Part Two
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Brutalist, Production Design: Judy Becker; Set Decoration: Patricia Cuccia
Conclave, Production Design: Suzie Davies; Set Decoration: Cynthia Sleiter
Dune: Part Two, Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau
Nosferatu, Production Design: Craig Lathrop; Set Decoration: Beatrice Brentnerová
Wicked, Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Lee Sandales
What I want to/think should win: Dune: Part Two
What I predict will win: Wicked
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Alien: Romulus, Eric Barba, Nelson Sepulveda-Fauser, Daniel Macarin and Shane Mahan
Better Man, Luke Millar, David Clayton, Keith Herft and Peter Stubbs
Dune: Part Two, Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Erik Winquist, Stephen Unterfranz, Paul Story and Rodney Burke
Wicked, Pablo Helman, Jonathan Fawkner, David Shirk and Paul Corbould
What I want to/think should win: Dune: Part Two
What I predict will win: Dune: Part Two
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
A Different Man, Mike Marino, David Presto and Crystal Jurado
Emilia Pérez, Julia Floch Carbonel, Emmanuel Janvier and Jean-Christophe Spadaccini
Nosferatu, David White, Traci Loader and Suzanne Stokes-Munton
The Substance, Pierre-Olivier Persin, Stéphanie Guillon and Marilyne Scarselli
Wicked, Frances Hannon, Laura Blount and Sarah Nuth
What I want to/think should win: The Substance
What I predict will win: The Substance
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Arianne Phillips, A Complete Unknown
Lisy Christl, Conclave
Janty Yates and Dave Crossman, Gladiator II
Linda Muir, Nosferatu
Paul Tazewell, Wicked
Who I want to/think should win: Conclave
Who I predict will win: Wicked
