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Sunday, April 25, 2021

2021 Oscar Predictions

 

It’s time for my annual Oscar predictions and I’m predicting 19 of the 23 categories. Some awards seem to be locks (like Chadwick Boseman for Best Actor, Soul for Best Animated Film) and many seem to be up in the air. Here we go!

UPDATE: So much for Boseman being a lock for Best Actor...wow! Anyway...I was 17 of 19 for my predictions and the winners are updated below in blue.

Best Picture


The Father

Judas and the Black Messiah

Mank

Minari

Nomadland

Promising Young Woman

Sound of Metal

The Trial of the Chicago 7


What I want to/think should win: Judas and the Black Messiah

What I predict will win: Nomadland


Best Directing


Thomas Vinterberg, Another Round

David Fincher, Mank

Lee Isaac Chung, Minari

Chloe Zhao, Nomadland

Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman


Who I want to/think should win: Chloe Zhao

Who I predict will win: Chloe Zhao


Best Actress in a Leading Role


Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Andra Day, United States vs. Billie Holiday

Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman

Frances McDormand, Nomadland

Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman


Who I want to/think should win: Carey Mulligan

Who I predict will win: Frances McDormand


Best Actor in a Leading Role


Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal

Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Anthony Hopkins, The Father

Gary Oldman, Mank

Steven Yeun, Minari


Who I want to/think should win: Riz Ahmed

Who I predict will win: Chadwick Boseman. I’m not sure if he’d win if he hadn’t sadly passed away, but this is almost a no-brainer. He IS great in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom. I have no problem with him winning, I just think Riz Ahmed, Steven Yeun, and Anthony Hopkins are better.


Best Actress in a Supporting Role


Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy

Olivia Colman, The Father

Amanda Seyfried, Mank

Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari


Who I want to/think should win: Amanda Seyfried

Who I predict will win: Yuh-Jung Youn


Best Actor in a Supporting Role


Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7

Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah

Leslie Odom, Jr., One Night in Miami

Paul Raci, Sound of Metal

LaKeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah


Who I want to/think should win: LaKeith Stanfield (he really should be nominated for Best Actor)

Who I predict will win: Daniel Kaluuya


Best Original Screenplay


Judas and the Black Messiah - Screenplay by Will Berson and Shaka King; Story by Berson, King, Keith and Kenny Lucas

Minari – Lee Isaac Chung

Promising Young Woman – Emerald Fennell

Sound of Metal – Screenplay by Abraham and Darius Marder; Story by Derek Cianfrance and D. Marder

The Trial of the Chicago 7 - Aaron Sorkin


Who I want to/think should win: Promising Young Woman – Emerald Fennell

Who I predict will win: Promising Young Woman – Emerald Fennell


Best Adapted Screenplay


Borat Subsequent Moviefilm – Screenplay by Sacha Baron Cohen, Peter Baynham, Jena Friedman, Anthony Hines, Lee Kern, Dan Mazer, Erica Rivinoja and Dan Swimer; Story by Baron Cohen, Hines, Nina Pedrad and Swimer; Based on the character by Baron Cohen

The Father – Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller, based on the play by Zeller

Nomadland – Chloé Zhao, based on the book by Jessica Bruder

One Night in Miami – Kemp Powers, based on his play

The White Tiger – Ramin Bahrani, based on the novel by Aravind Adiga


Who I want to/think should win: One Night in Miami – Kemp Powers, based on his play

Who I predict will win: The Father – Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller, based on the play by Zeller


Best Cinematography


Judas and the Black Messiah – Sean Bobbitt

Mank – Erik Messerschmidt

News of the World – Dariusz Wolski

Nomadland – Joshua James Richards

The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Phedon Papamichael


Who I want to/think should win: Nomadland – Joshua James Richards

Who I predict will win: Mank – Erik Messerschmidt


Best Film Editing


The Father – Yorgos Lamprinos

Nomadland – Chloé Zhao

Promising Young Woman – Frédéric Thoraval

Sound of Metal – Mikkel E.G. Nielsen

The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Alan Baumgarten


Who I want to/think should win: Nomadland – Chloé Zhao

Who I predict will win: Sound of Metal – Mikkel E.G. Nielsen


Best Animated Feature Film


Onward

Over the Moon

A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon

Soul

Wolfwalkers


What I want to/think should win: The only one I saw...Soul. This arguably could have been nominated for Best Picture and sure would have been that “breath of fresh air movie” that I think was needed.

What I predict will win: Soul


Best International Feature Film


Another Round

Better Days

Collective

The Man Who Sold His Skin

Quo Vadis, Aida?


What I want to/think should win: Another Round. This movie is fantastic and I think it should have been nominated for Best Picture as well.

What I predict will win: Another Round


Best Original Score


Da 5 Bloods – Terence Blanchard

Mank – Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross

Minari – Emile Mosseri

News of the World – James Newton Howard

Soul – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross and Jon Batiste


Who I want to/think should win: Tenet - Ludwig Göransson. Oh wait...he wasn’t nominated which is a total joke as that score is fantastic.

Who I predict will win: Soul – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross and Jon Batiste


Best Original Song


"Fight For You," Judas and the Black Messiah – Music by D'Mile and H.E.R.; lyric by H.E.R. and Tiara Thomas

"Hear My Voice," The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Music by Daniel Pemberton; lyric by Celeste and Pemberton

"Husavik," Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga – Music and lyric by Rickard Göransson, Fat Max Gsus and Savan Kotecha

"Io Si (Seen)," The Life Ahead – Music by Diane Warren; lyric by Laura Pausini and Warren

"Speak Now," One Night in Miami – Music and lyric by Sam Ashworth and Leslie Odom Jr.


Who I want to/think should win: Who cares? This category is only worth talking about when songs are integrated into the movie and not just played over the credits (like “Shallow” from A Star Is Born). I do like Leslie Odom Jr. as Sam Cooke in One Night in Miami though.

Who I predict will win: "Speak Now," One Night in Miami – Music and lyric by Sam Ashworth and Leslie Odom Jr.


Best Sound


Greyhound

Mank

News of the World

Soul

Sound of Metal


What I want to/think should win: Duh, the movie with the word “sound” in its title...Sound of Metal

What I predict will win: Sound of Metal


Best Costume Design


Emma

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Mank

Mulan

Pinocchio


What I want to/think should win: Mank

What I predict will win: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom


Best Makeup and Hairstyling


Emma

Hillbilly Elegy

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Mank

Pinocchio


What I want to/think should win: Mank

What I predict will win: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom


Best Production Design


The Father

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Mank

News of the World

Tenet


What I want to/think should win: Tenet

What I predict will win: Mank


Best Visual Effects


Love and Monsters

The Midnight Sky

Mulan

The One and Only Ivan

Tenet


What I want to/think should win: Tenet

What I predict will win: Tenet

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