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Saturday, March 11, 2023

2023 Oscar Predictions


There were a lot of good & even great movies in 2022 and some of them were nominated for Oscars. I am not as confident in some of my predictions as in past years, so it'll be interesting to see how I do this year. I do think a movie I pretty much hated (Everything Everywhere All at Once) is going to clean up though and that kind of pisses me off and a movie I love (Top Gun: Maverick) won't win nearly as many awards as it should...oh well. Here are my predictions for 17 of the 23 categories.


UPDATE: I went 12/17 with my predictions and am disappointed in this year's Best Picture winner. Oh well, hopefully Dune 2 sweeps everything in 2024. The winners are below in blue.


BEST PICTURE


All Quiet on the Western Front

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Banshees of Inisherin

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All at Once

The Fabelmans

Tár

Top Gun: Maverick

Triangle of Sadness

Women Talking


What I want to/think should win: Of course, I think Top Gun: Maverick should win all of the awards it’s nominated for and thus want it to win Best Picture. But...

What I predict will win: This pains me, but I predict that Everything Everywhere All at Once is going to win...Ugh.


BEST DIRECTING


The Banshees of Inisherin — Martin McDonagh

Everything Everywhere All at Once — Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert

The Fabelmans — Steven Spielberg

Tár — Todd Field

Triangle of Sadness — Ruben Östlund


Who I want to/think should win: Steven Spielberg

Who I predict will win: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (ugh)


BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE


Austin Butler in Elvis

Colin Farrell in The Banshees of Inisherin

Brendan Fraser in The Whale

Paul Mescal in Aftersun

Bill Nighy in Living


Who I want to/think should win: Austin Butler (who is great as Elvis)

Who I predict will win: Brendan Fraser


BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE


Cate Blanchett in Tár

Ana de Armas in Blonde

Andrea Riseborough in To Leslie

Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans

Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once


Who I want to/think should win and who I predict will win: Cate Blanchett (who carries Tár and why that movie is as good as it is)


BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE


Brendan Gleeson in The Banshees of Inisherin

Brian Tyree Henry in Causeway

Judd Hirsch in The Fabelmans

Barry Keoghan in The Banshees of Inisherin

Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All at Once


Who I want to/think should win: Brian Tyree Henry who is great in a really good movie

Who I predict will win: Ke Huy Quan


BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE


Angela Bassett in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Hong Chau in The Whale

Kerry Condon in The Banshees of Inisherin

Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Stephanie Hsu in Everything Everywhere All at Once


Who I want to/think should win: Kerry fecking Condon

Who I predict will win: Jamie Lee Curtis


BEST COSTUME DESIGN


Babylon — Mary Zophres

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever — Ruth Carter

Elvis — Catherine Martin

Everything Everywhere All at Once — Shirley Kurata

Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris — Jenny Beavan


What I want to/think should win: Wakanda Forever

What I predict will win: Elvis


BEST SOUND


All Quiet on the Western Front — Viktor Prásil, Frank Kruse, Markus Stemler, Lars Ginzel and Stefan Korte

Avatar: The Way of Water — Julian Howarth, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Dick Bernstein, Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers and Michael Hedges

The Batman — Stuart Wilson, William Files, Douglas Murray and Andy Nelson

Elvis — David Lee, Wayne Pashley, Andy Nelson and Michael Keller

Top Gun: Maverick — Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor


What I want to/think should win and what I predict will win: Top Gun: Maverick


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE


All Quiet on the Western Front — Volker Bertelmann

Babylon — Justin Hurwitz

The Banshees of Inisherin — Carter Burwell

Everything Everywhere All at Once — Son Lux

The Fabelmans — John Williams


What I want to/think should win and what I predict will win: All Quiet on the Western Front


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY


All Quiet on the Western Front — Screenplay by Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery — Written by Rian Johnson

Living — Written by Kazuo Ishiguro

Top Gun: Maverick — Screenplay by Ehren Kruger and Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie; Story by Peter Craig and Justin Marks

Women Talking — Screenplay by Sarah Polley


What I want to/think should win: Top Gun: Maverick

What I predict will win: Women Talking


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY


The Banshees of Inisherin — Written by Martin McDonagh

Everything Everywhere All at Once — Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert

The Fabelmans — Written by Steven Spielberg & Tony Kushner

Tár — Written by Todd Field

Triangle of Sadness — Written by Ruben Östlund


What I want to/think should win: The Fabelmans

What I predict will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once


BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM


All Quiet on the Western Front — Germany

Argentina, 1985 — Argentina

Close — Belgium

EO — Poland

The Quiet Girl — Ireland


What I want to/think should win and what I predict will win: This is a slam dunk...All Quiet on the Western Front


BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING


All Quiet on the Western Front — Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová

The Batman — Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever — Camille Friend and Joel Harlow

Elvis — Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti

The Whale — Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Anne Marie Bradley


What I want to/think should win: All Quiet on the Western Front

What I predict will win: Elvis


BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN


All Quiet on the Western Front — Production Design: Christian M. Goldbeck; Set Decoration: Ernestine Hipper

Avatar: The Way of Water — Production Design: Dylan Cole and Ben Procter; Set Decoration: Vanessa Cole

Babylon — Production Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino

Elvis — Production Design: Catherine Martin and Karen Murphy; Set Decoration: Bev Dunn

The Fabelmans — Production Design: Rick Carter; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara


What I want to/think should win: All Quiet on the Western Front

What I predict will win: Babylon


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY


All Quiet on the Western Front — James Friend

Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths — Darius Khondji

Elvis — Mandy Walker

Empire of Light — Roger Deakins

Tár — Florian Hoffmeister


What I want to/think should win: Top Gun: Maverick...oh wait, it wasn’t nominated!

What I predict will win: All Quiet on the Western Front


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS


All Quiet on the Western Front — Frank Petzold, Viktor Müller, Markus Frank and Kamil Jafar

Avatar: The Way of Water — Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett

The Batman — Dan Lemmon, Russell Earl, Anders Langlands and Dominic Tuohy

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever — Geoffrey Baumann, Craig Hammack, R. Christopher White and Dan Sudick

Top Gun: Maverick — Ryan Tudhope, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson and Scott R. Fisher


What I want to/think should win: Real visual effects should always win this award...Top Gun: Maverick

What I predict will win: Avatar: The Way of Water


BEST FILM EDITING


The Banshees of Inisherin — Mikkel E.G. Nielsen

Elvis — Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond

Everything Everywhere All at Once — Paul Rogers

Tár — Monika Willi

Top Gun: Maverick — Eddie Hamilton


What I want to/think should win and what I predict will win: Top Gun: Maverick

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