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Saturday, February 23, 2019

2019 Oscar Predictions


Here are my annual Oscar predictions. I’ve increased the number of awards that I am predicting and therefore I probably won’t do very well!

UPDATE: Winners are highlighted in blue. I was 12 for 20 with my predictions. It was a good ceremony and went very smoothly in spite of not having a host. There were some very memorable moments (Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper's "Shallow" duet being the highlight for me) and some very deserving wins with a lot of diversity. I don't think Green Book deserved Best Picture and I don't believe that it will stand the test of time.

Best Picture

Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born
Vice

The movie I want to/think should win: Um yeah...A Star Is Born all the way.
The movie I predict will win: Roma

Lead Actor

Christian Bale - Vice
Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe - At Eternity’s Gate
Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen - Green Book

Who I want to/think should win: Take a wild guess...Yeah, Bradley Cooper.
Who I predict will win: Rami Malek

Lead Actress

Yalitza Aparicio - Roma
Glenn Close - The Wife
Olivia Colman - The Favourite
Lady Gaga - A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarthy - Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Who I want to/think should win: See above...Lady Gaga.
Who I predict will win: Glenn Close

Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali - Green Book
Adam Driver - BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott - A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant - Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell - Vice

Who I want to win: See above...Sam Elliott (and his voice/mustache).
Who I think should win and who I predict will win: Mahershala Ali

Supporting Actress

Amy Adams - Vice
Marina de Tavira - Roma
Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone - The Favourite
Rachel Weisz - The Favourite

Who I want to/think should win: Anyone except the 2 from The Favourite and not because I don’t like these actresses, but because I think that movie is a big turd. In actuality, who I want to/think should win is also...
Who I predict will win: Regina King

Director

Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman
Pawel Pawlikowski - Cold War
Yorgos Lanthimos - The Favourite
Alfonso Cuarón - Roma
Adam McKay - Vice

Who I want to/think should win: Bradley Cooper...oh wait, he was robbed and didn’t get nominated.
Who I predict will win: Alfonso Cuarón

Animated Feature

Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

The movie I think should win and the movie I predict will win: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (I liked Incredibles 2, but this Spider-Man movie is really good!).

Adapted Screenplay

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs - Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
BlacKkKlansman - Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
Can You Ever Forgive Me? - Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
If Beale Street Could Talk - Barry Jenkins
A Star Is Born - Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters

The movie I want to/think should win: I think A Star is Born should win everything it’s nominated for!
The movie I predict will win: BlacKkKlansman - Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee

Original Screenplay

The Favourite - Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara
First Reformed - Paul Schrader
Green Book - Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
Roma - Alfonso Cuarón
Vice - Adam McKay

The movie I want to/think should win: Roma
The movie I predict will win: The Favourite, Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara

Cinematography

Cold War - Lukasz Zal
The Favourite - Robbie Ryan
Never Look Away - Caleb Deschanel
Roma - Alfonso Cuarón
A Star Is Born - Matthew Libatique

The movie I want to/think should win AND predict will win: I think Roma is a visually beautiful movie, so I will not pick A Star Is Born for this award and will pick Roma - Alfonso Cuarón.

Best Foreign Language Film

Capernaum (Lebanon)
Cold War (Poland)
Never Look Away (Germany)
Roma (Mexico)
Shoplifters (Japan)

The movie I want to/think should win AND predict will win: Slam dunk...Roma.

Film Editing

BlacKkKlansman - Barry Alexander Brown
Bohemian Rhapsody - John Ottman
Green Book - Patrick J. Don Vito
The Favourite - Yorgos Mavropsaridis
Vice - Hank Corwin

The movie I predict will win: I am picking this category for the first time ever (like many others) and don’t have a “want” to win pick here. I think Vice - Hank Corwin will win.

Sound Editing

Black Panther - Benjamin A. Burtt, Steve Boeddeker
Bohemian Rhapsody - John Warhurst
First Man - Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou Morgan
A Quiet Place - Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl
Roma - Sergio Diaz, Skip Lievsay

The movie I want to/think should win AND predict will win: First Man - Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou Morgan

Sound Mixing

Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
Roma
A Star Is Born

The movie I predict will win: Bohemian Rhapsody

Production Design

Black Panther - Hannah Beachler
First Man - Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas
The Favourite - Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
Mary Poppins Returns - John Myhre, Gordon Sim
Roma - Eugenio Caballero, Bárbara Enrı́quez

The movie I predict will win: Black Panther - Hannah Beachler

Original Score

BlacKkKlansman - Terence Blanchard
Black Panther - Ludwig Goransson
If Beale Street Could Talk - Nicholas Britell
Isle of Dogs - Alexandre Desplat
Mary Poppins Returns - Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman

The movie I want to/think should win: Justin Hurwitz for First Man...Oh wait, Hurwitz got robbed and wasn’t even nominated!
The movie I predict will win: If Beale Street Could Talk - Nicholas Britell

Original Song

“All The Stars” from Black Panther by Kendrick Lamar, SZA
“I’ll Fight” from RBG by Diane Warren, Jennifer Hudson
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” from Mary Poppins Returns by Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
“Shallow” from A Star Is Born by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt and Benjamin Rice
“When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings” from The Ballad of Buster Scruggs by David Rawlings and Gillian Welch

The movie I want to/think should win AND predict will win: Sadly, this may be the only Oscar that A Star Is Born wins…”Shallow” should be a no-brainer here.

Makeup and Hair

Border
Mary Queen of Scots
Vice

The movie I predict will win: Vice for Christian Bale’s transformation alone.

Costume Design

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs - Mary Zophres
Black Panther - Ruth E. Carter
The Favourite - Sandy Powell
Mary Poppins Returns - Sandy Powell
Mary Queen of Scots - Alexandra Byrne

The movie I predict will win: I hate making predictions for this movie, but I’m picking The Favourite - Sandy Powell

Visual Effects

Avengers: Infinity War
Christopher Robin
First Man
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story

The movie I predict will win: Avengers: Infinity War

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